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| Total Value: $2,319,244.63 |
Cash Value: $166,731.36 |
Stock Value: $2,152,513.27 |
Shares: 100,000 |
Price: $23.19 |
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| Fund Performance for aragon9197 |
May 22, 2012 |
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fund information |
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| Fund
Manager:
aragon9197 |
Inception:
Feb 18, 2005 |
| Description: |
| The fund makes investments based on ongoing macroeconomic themes. The goal is to beat the S&P 500 by a +10% margin annually. As of Nov 29th, this margin is +13.30%.
The 3Q of 2010 was an incredibly difficult quarter for me investing wise. My entire call on the market was off. I had structured the portfolio to be essentially 0 delta (long exposure + short exposure via ETFs = 0). I had expected the European crisis to erupt but I was clearly wrong on the timing as the S&P roared back with a >10% return YTD. Thankfully, halfway through the entire process I realized I was fighting the trend and shifted the portfolio into a few value ideas I uncovered.
At present, the fund does not have any short exposure. Its not because I am very optimistic. The opposite in fact, as the Euro crisis I forecasted to hit in 3Q is starting to hit now in 4Q. However, I have found a number of value proposition which I am very confident about. Its an eclectic group of companies including a Peruvian pension administrator, a Pacific airline, and a German iron ore producer.
As for my macro outlook, I am very grim for the coming months. The Irish crisis shows no signs of abetting. While the ECB might put out a few of the flames by creating bailout vehicles, its only a matter of time before the correlations in the credit markets spike to 1 and Portugal/Spain/Greece face pressure again. I also do not like the situation in Asia. From an economic perspective, China looks like its being fueled by artificial demand engineered by the politicos. The Korean situation also does not add to the political stability of the region.
As a whole, I am retreating to micro company plays which are geographically and industry wise very diverse. I am keeping some of the cash parked in large cap, div plays which I can get liquidity from to make a macro bet when I think the timing is right.
My YTD returns at present is 9%. I would prefer to end 2010 with returns in the double digits. Here's to hoping that happens. |
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Club Memberships |
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fund positions by sector
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| Color |
Name |
Portion |
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Financials |
70% |
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Information Technology |
1% |
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Unclassified |
29% |
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fund positions by style |
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| Color |
Name |
Portion |
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Large Cap Growth |
22% |
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Large Cap Value |
10% |
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Mid Cap Value |
6% |
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Micro Cap Value |
28% |
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Value |
Blend |
Growth |
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| Large |
10% | 0% | 22% | 32% |
| Medium |
6% | 0% | 0% | 6% |
| Small |
0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Micro |
28% | 0% | 0% | 28% |
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44% | 0% | 22% |
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recent returns
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| RETURNS |
| Last Week |
-2.23% |
| Last Month |
-8.91% |
| Last 3 Months |
-5.15% |
| Last 6 Months |
14.37% |
| Last 12 Months |
3.42% |
| Last 2 Years |
9.37% |
| Last 3 Years |
52.44% |
| Last 5 Years |
73.13% |
| Since Inception |
131.92% |
| (Annualized) |
12.28% |
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| S&P500 RETURNS |
| Last Week |
-1.01% |
| Last Month |
-4.28% |
| Last 3 Months |
-2.49% |
| Last 6 Months |
14.57% |
| Last 12 Months |
2.16% |
| Last 2 Years |
26.21% |
| Last 3 Years |
57.95% |
| Last 5 Years |
-2.62% |
| Since Inception |
27.44% |
| (Annualized) |
3.39% |
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| RETURNS
VS S&P500 |
| Last Week |
-1.23% |
| Last Month |
-4.63% |
| Last 3 Months |
-2.66% |
| Last 6 Months |
-0.20% |
| Last 12 Months |
1.26% |
| Last 2 Years |
-16.84% |
| Last 3 Years |
-5.51% |
| Last 5 Years |
75.75% |
| Since Inception |
104.49% |
| (Annualized) |
8.89% |
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fund rankings |
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 Flux Quantum Macroeconomic Long Fund has been in the m100 (the list of the overall top 100 funds on our site)
10
times |
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| ALL
RANKINGS FOR Flux Quantum Macroeconomic Long Fund |
| Date |
1 Month |
3 Months |
6 Months |
1 Year |
| Jun 30, 2005 |
0.5% |
0.1% |
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| Sep 30, 2005 |
87.2% |
91.8%  |
5.0% |
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| Dec 31, 2005 |
72.6% |
94.5% |
97.0% |
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| Mar 31, 2006 |
90.8% |
91.7% |
96.5% |
71.9% |
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| Jun 30, 2006 |
86.8% |
78.4% |
95.1% |
97.7% |
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| Sep 29, 2006 |
11.7% |
6.0% |
19.7% |
89.0% |
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| Dec 29, 2006 |
13.6% |
72.6% |
10.8% |
70.4% |
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| Mar 30, 2007 |
95.4% |
#80  |
98.9% |
88.4% |
88.9% |
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| Jun 29, 2007 |
61.2% |
87.2% |
99.5% |
91.2% |
98.7% |
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| Sep 28, 2007 |
94.7% |
87.1% |
91.3% |
98.6% |
98.7% |
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| Dec 31, 2007 |
98.3% |
95.4% |
95.4% |
99.5% |
98.7% |
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| Mar 31, 2008 |
94.0% |
98.5% |
99.3% |
99.4% |
99.4% |
97.8% |
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| Jun 30, 2008 |
96.2% |
98.5% |
99.5% |
#55 |
#33 |
#31 |
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| Sep 30, 2008 |
35.5% |
7.2% |
51.7% |
98.7% |
#19 |
#17 |
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| Dec 31, 2008 |
89.1% |
70.1% |
19.9% |
90.8% |
#27 |
#25 |
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| Mar 31, 2009 |
N/C |
97.8% |
97.0% |
94.4% |
#42 |
#19 |
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| Jun 30, 2009 |
19.5% |
63.7% |
95.6% |
56.7% |
#41 |
#17 |
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| Sep 30, 2009 |
93.4% |
81.9% |
74.3% |
98.7% |
#31 |
#7 |
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| Dec 31, 2009 |
99.7% |
99.2% |
97.6% |
98.5% |
#23 |
#5 |
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| Mar 31, 2010 |
1.6% |
47.1% |
97.0% |
89.7% |
#87 |
#7 |
#11 |
| Jun 30, 2010 |
97.3% |
94.4% |
91.3% |
98.8% |
96.5% |
#9 |
#5 |
| Sep 30, 2010 |
1.4% |
2.4% |
40.9% |
88.3% |
98.7% |
#22 |
#10 |
| Dec 31, 2010 |
34.8% |
57.2% |
7.4% |
46.3% |
95.7% |
#50 |
#16 |
| Mar 31, 2011 |
6.1% |
3.0% |
11.1% |
14.5% |
67.9% |
97.3% |
#20 |
| Jun 30, 2011 |
N/C |
N/C |
N/C |
N/C |
N/C |
N/C |
N/C |
| Sep 30, 2011 |
N/C |
N/C |
N/C |
N/C |
N/C |
N/C |
N/C |
| Dec 31, 2011 |
86.1% |
17.7% |
N/C |
N/C |
N/C |
N/C |
N/C |
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N/C = "Not Compliant",
and means Flux Quantum Macroeconomic Long Fund wasn't compliant for that period.
A
blue star means Flux Quantum Macroeconomic Long Fund was in
the top 100 funds for that period.
A
green star means Flux Quantum Macroeconomic Long Fund was in
the top 25%.
The numbers above are the percentage of compliant funds that Flux Quantum Macroeconomic Long Fund
beat in the given time period, unless it was in the top 100 for that
period, in which case the number displays your rank. |
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alpha/beta vs. S&P500
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| For an explanation of alpha and beta, see the entry for "beta" in our glossary. |
| Alpha |
11.11% |
| Beta |
0.80 |
| R-Squared |
0.32 |
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turnover
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| Last Month |
3.05% |
| Last 3 Months |
17.58% |
| Last 6 Months |
61.71% |
| Last 12 Months |
259.01% |
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about this fund profile |
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The fund profiled is managed by
aragon9197. It is a virtual fund on Marketocracy's website www.marketocracy.com that began with $1 million in cash and a Net Asset Value (NAV) of $10 per share.
Marketocracy is the only financial website where you can simulate running your own mutual fund and accurately compare your investing skill to professionally managed mutual funds and other investors. At Marketocracy, you can manage a $1 million virtual portfolio and make trades in an environment that mirrors the trading activity of the real stock market. Our portfolio management tools help you discover your investing strengths and weaknesses and help you become a better investor. You can try different investment strategies and styles to see what works best for you in a virtual environment first, before you invest your real money. It's a great place to learn, and a great place to prove your talent.
If your track record turns out to be one of the best, you will receive special privileges on our website and the best of the best get paid. If you're serious about investing or want to become a better investor, you'll want to signup for a free basic membership and start running your own fund. |
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[ To signup for your own virtual fund click here ]
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Who is Marketocracy?
Marketocracy Data Services is a research company whose mission is to find the best investors in the world and then track, analyze, and evaluate their trading activity. The company's affiliate, Marketocracy Capital Management, is the investment advisor for the Marketocracy family of mutual funds and uses the research generated by Marketocracy Data Services.
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